Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Victorian state election, 2018
Carrum District

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Southern Melbourne: Bonbeach, Carrum, Carrum Downs, Patterson Lakes, Seaford
Federal seats: Parts of Dunkley and Isaacs
Legislative Council: South-Eastern Metropolitan Region
Local government areas: Parks of Frankston, Greater Dandenong and Kingston
Enrolment 2014 election: 44,578
Enrolment 2018 election: 48,726 (up 9.3%)

Sitting member: Sonia Kilkenny (Labor): Elected 2014

2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.0
2014 Labor majority over Liberal: 0.3

Status: Very marginal Labor

  • 2014 results

    Candidates

  • Donna Bauer
    Liberal Party
    Sonia Kilkenny
    Australian Labor Party
    Braeden Thompson
    Australian Greens

  • Santosh Yadav (Transport Matters)
  • Donna Bauer (Liberal Party)
  • Simone Philpott-Smart (Derryn Hinch's Justice Party)
  • Braeden Thompson (Australian Greens)
  • Michael Tellesson (Independent)
  • Sonia Kilkenny (Australian Labor Party)
  • Jennifer Bowden (Democratic Labor Party)

  • Carrum District

    Carrum was created in 1976, taking in the lower bayside suburbs between Frankston and Mentone. Subsequent redistrictings have pushed it further south and extended it inland, to take in growth areas such as Carrum Downs and Patterson Lakes. It has a mix of low income areas around Seaford and Carrum, along with affluent developments such as Patterson Lakes.

    Carrum was won for Labor in 1976 by Ian Cathie, who went on to be a minister in the Cain government. The Liberals won it in 1996, but lost it back to Labor in 1999. Jenny Lindell held the seat from 1999 to 2010, and was the first woman to be Speaker of the Legislative Assembly. She was defeated in 2010 by Donna Bauer, who also only held it for one term, before losing very narrowly to Labor in 2014.

    Sonya Kilkenny, Labor MLA for Carrum since 2014, was a lawyer and law tutor before entering politics. She also worked for the Kimberley Land Council and the Australian Children's Television Foundation. The Liberal candidate will again by Donna Bauer, who was a communications consultant and a Kingston City councillor before her election in 2010. The Greens candidate is Braeden Thompson, whose occupation is not stated.

    Carrum is one of the "Frankston Line Four" seats which Labor won in 2014, mainly on public transport issues. It is a seat the Liberals must win if they are to regain government.

    Boundaries following 2014 redistricting:




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