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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Mallee, Victoria
Northern Victoria: Horsham, Kerang, Mildura, Maryborough, Swan Hill
State seats: All of
Mildura, parts of
Bendigo East,
Lowan,
Murray Plains and
Ripon
Local government areas: All of Buloke, Central Goldfields, Gannawarra, Hindmarsh, Horsham, Loddon, Mildura,
Swan Hill, West Wimmera and Yarrambiack, parts of Northern Grampians and Pyrenees
Enrolment at close of rolls: 113,778
1999 republic referendum: No 71.2
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 54.3
Sitting member: Hon Andrew Broad (Nationals):
Elected 2013, 2016. Retiring 2019
2007 Nationals majority over Labor: 21.3%
2010 Nationals majority over Labor: 24.4%
2013 Nationals majority over Liberal: 6.2%
2016 Nationals majority over Labor: 21.3%
2019 notional Nationals majority over Labor: 19.8%
Status: Very safe Nationals
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Serge Petrovich
Liberal Party |
2. Cecilia Moar
Independent |
3. Jason Modica
Independent |
4. Rick Grosvenor
Fraser Anning's Conservative
National Party |
5. Dr Anne Webster
The Nationals |
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6. Chris Lahy
Citizens Electoral Council |
7. Philip Mollison
Rise Up Australia |
8. Carole Hart
Australian Labor Party |
9. Leigh Firman
Science Party |
10. Ray Kingston
Independent |
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11. Dan Straub
Shooters, Fishers and Farmers |
12. Rick Millar
United Australia Party |
13. Nicole Rowan
Australian Greens |
Candidate websites:
Ray Kingston
Serge Petrovich
Nicole Rowan
Dr Anne Webster
Division of Mallee
Mallee was created in 1949, from the northern part of the Federation seat of Wimmera. Wimmera was abolished in 1977 and
Mallee now has nearly identical borders to the old seat. It covers the north-western quarter of Victoria, including the
Murray Valley and the wheat country of the Wimmera. It has one of the highest proportions of its workforce engaged in
agriculture of any seat, and like all such seats it has a relatively low median family income level and a low proportion of
people born in non English speaking countries, although it has a surprisingly high proportion of people in professional
occupations.
Mallee has always been a safe seat for the Country Party and its successor the Nationals, although the Liberals nearly
pinched it in 1993 and again in 2013. It was the safest Coalition seat in Australia, but the inclusion of the Labor town of
Maryborough at the 2018 redistribution has slightly reduced the Nationals majority. Despite their security, until 2018 none of the
Country / Nationals members for Mallee had ever been promoted from the backbench.
Andrew Broad, Nationals MP for Mallee since 2013, was a wheat and sheep farmer and president of the Victorian Farmers
Federation before his election. Having narrowly survived a Liberal challenge in 2013, he appeared to be safe. In August 2018
he was appointed Assistant Minister to the Deputy Prime Minister. But in December it was revealed that Broad (a
married man) had been using taxpayer-funded travel for sexual liaisons with a woman in Hong Kong he had contacted online. He
immediately resigned from the ministry and announced that he would not recontest Mallee.
The new Nationals candidate in Mallee is Dr Anne Webster, a Mildura sociologist. Although the seat is in no danger of
falling to Labor, the Nationals could be vulnerable either to a
Liberal or a local independent. (The state seat of Mildura was won by an independent at the November state election.) In
February three independents announced candidacies: former Yarriambiack mayor Ray Kingston, former Victorian rural woman of the
year Cecilia Moar and Mildura Rural City councillor Jason Modica. The Liberal candidate is Serge Patrovich, a lawyer and
former police officer. The Labor candidate is Carole Hart, a community worker.
The Greens candidate is Nicole Rowan, a tax lawyer. The Science Party candidate, Leigh Firman, is a
professional gardener.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,083 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 21.5% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 2.8% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 81.6% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 8.0% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 20.6% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 30.0% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 10.1% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 33.7% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 19.6% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: 22.6% (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 29.9% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 25.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 25.8% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Sir Winton Turnbull (CP) 1949-72
Peter Fisher (CP, NCP, NPA) 1972-93
John Forrest (NPA) 1993-2013
Andrew Broad (Nat) 2013-19
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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