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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Holt, Victoria
South-eastern Melbourne: Cranbourne, Hampton Park, Lyndhurst, Narre Warren South, Pearcedale
State seats: All of
Cranbourne, parts of
Bass,
Hastings and
Narre Warren South
Local government areas: Parts of Casey
Enrolment at close of rolls: 106,830
1999 republic referendum: No 51.3
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 50.7
Sitting member: Hon Anthony Byrne (Labor):
Elected 1999 by-election, 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2103, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.6%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 13.2%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 9.1%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 14.2%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 9.9%
Status: Fairly safe Labor
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Bayles (70.8), Tooradin (65.4), Cranbourne South (63.2), Devon Meadows (62.6),
Pearcedale (58.2)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Coral Park (73.4), Hampton Park (73.3), Hampton Park East (72.9),
Kilberry Valley (72.7), Cranbourne North-East (69.4)
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
 |
 |
 |
 |
1. Hon Anthony Byrne
Australian Labor Party |
2. Jess Wheelock
Australian Greens |
3. Jatinder Singh
United Australia Party |
4. Jennifer Van Den Broek
Liberal Party |
Candidate websites:
Hon Anthony Byrne
Jennifer Van Den Broek
Jess Wheelock
Division of Holt
Holt was created in 1969, based on the manufacturing centre of Dandenong in Melbourne's south-eastern suburbs.
Subsequent redistributions, however, moved the seat further out, removing Dandenong and adding the commuter suburb of
Cranbourne. On its 2013 boundaries Holt was the country's foremost mortgage belt seat - it had the highest proportion
of families with
dependent children and the highest proportion of dwellings being purchased of any electorate. It is thus acutely
sensitive to interest rates, which nearly cost Labor the seat at the 2004 election.
Gareth Evans, Foreign Minister in the Hawke-Keating Government, won Holt in 1996 after a long career in the Senate.
He departed after Labor's defeat in 1998.
Anthony Byrne, Labor MP since the 1999 by-election which followed Evas's resignation, was chief executive officer
of the Anxiety Disorders Foundation of Australia before his election. He was a parliamentary secretary in the first
Rudd Government but was dropped after the 2010 election. He was chair of the Joint Statutory Committee on Intelligence
and Security from 2010 to 2013 and is now deputy chair.
The 2018 redistribution has removed the Labor strongholds of Doveton and Hallam, and added a stretch of semi-rural
territory around Pearcedale and Tooradin. This has substantially reduced the Labor majority, but not enough to
give the Liberals a real chance of winning the seat.
The Liberal candidate is Jennifer Van Den Broek, a sales executive. The Greens candidate is Jess Wheelock, a business
owner.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,579 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 8.3% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 51.0% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Indian 8.3%
Non-English-speaking households: 36.3% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 22.2% (Australia 22.6%)
Hinduism: 6.0%
No religion 25.9% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 16.6% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 23.6% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 32.8% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 57.8% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 22.0% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 48.5% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Leonard Reid (Lib) 1969-72
Max Oldmeadow (ALP) 1972-75
William Yates (Lib) 1975-80
Hon Michael Duffy (ALP) 1980-96
Hon Gareth Evans (ALP) 1996-99
Hon Anthony Byrne (ALP) 1999b-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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