Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Gippsland, Victoria

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Eastern Victoria: Bairnsdale, Morwell, Sale, Traralgon
State seats: All of Gippsland East and Morwell, parts of Gippsland South
Local government areas: All of East Gippsland and Wellington, parts of Latrobe
Enrolment at close of rolls: 110,581
1999 republic referendum: No 65.2
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 60.2

Sitting member: Hon Darren Chester (Nationals): Elected 2008 by-election, 2010, 2013, 2016

2007 Nationals majority over Labor: 5.9%
2008 by-election Nationals majority over Labor: 12.0%
2010 Nationals majority over Labor: 11.5%
2013 Nationals majority over Labor: 15.8%
2016 Nationals majority over Labor: 18.4%
2019 notional Nationals majority over Labor: 18.2%

Status: Very safe Nationals

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. David Snelling
    Shooters, Fishers and Farmers
    2. Neville Tickner
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party
    3. Kerry Brewer
    United Australia Party
    4. Dr Antoinette Holm
    Australian Labor Party
    5. Siona Buckley
    Independent
    6. Hon Darren Chester
    The Nationals
    7. Deb Foskey
    Australian Greens



    Candidate websites:

    Hon Darren Chester
    Deb Foskey
    Dr Antoinette Holm

    Division of Gippsland

    Gippsland has existed since Federation and has always occupied the eastern third of Victoria, the heavily agricultural Gippsland region. Before 1949 the seat included the industrial towns of the La Trobe Valley, and Labor nearly won it in 1943. The 1949 redistribution moved the Valley into McMillan, cutting the Labor vote. But as Gippsland's share of Victoria's population has declined, the seat has had to expand, firstly into the dairying country of South Gippsland, and in 2004 back into the Valley, when the 2004 redistribution moved Morwell and Traralgon from McMillan into Gippsland. Morwell was a strongly Labor town, Traralgon usually a moderately Labor one, although the Labor vote in both has declined as the Valley has deindustrialised in recent years.

    Gippsland has never elected a Labor member. It has been held by the Country Party and its successor the Nationals continuously since 1922, longer than any other seat. Past members have included ministers Tom Paterson and Peter Nixon. Peter McGauran won the seat for the Nationals 1983, and was a minister in the Howard Government. He resigned after the 2007 election defeat.

    Darren Chester, Nationals MP for Gippsland since the 2008 by-election which followed McGauran's resignation, was a newspaper and television journalist, a marketing consultant, and chief of staff to Victorian Nationals leader Peter Ryan before his election. As one of the Nationals' younger talents, he was promoted rapidly. He was on the opposition front bench from 2010 and in 2016 entered Cabinet as Minister for Infrastructure and Transport. In December 2017 he was sacked for no apparent reason by Nationals leader Barnaby Joyce: part of the pattern of erratic behaviour that soon cost Joyce his job. Chester was rehabilitated by Michael McCormack and is now Minister for Veterans' Affairs and Minister for Defence Personnel.

    The Labor candidate is Dr Antoinette Holm, a writer and university academic at Churchill. The Greens candidate is Deb Foskey, a teacher and former Greens member of the ACT Legislative Assembly.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,058 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 21.7% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 79.4% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 6.7% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 20.3% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 35.0% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 11.5% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 29.2% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 25.9% (Australia 22.9%)
    Employed in agriculture: 10.2% (Australia 3.3%)
    Paying a mortgage: 32.4% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 24.0% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 25.2% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Hon Allan McLean (Prot, AS) 1901-06
    George Wise (Prot, Ind) 1906-13
    James Bennett (Lib) 1913-14
    Hon George Wise (Ind, Nat) 1914-22
    Hon Thomas Paterson (CP) 1922-43
    George Bowden (CP) 1943-61
    Hon Peter Nixon (CP, NCP, NPA)1961-83
    Hon Peter McGauran (NPA) 1983-2008
    Hon Darren Chester (Nat) 2008-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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