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| Australian federal election, 2016
Division of Denison, Tasmania
Central Hobart: Claremont, Glenorchy, Hobart, Taroona
Sitting member: Andrew Wilkie (independent), elected 2010
Enrolment at close of rolls: 74,020
2013 Independent majority over Labor: 15.5%
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Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Amanda Excell
Christian Democrats |
2. Marcus Allan
Liberal Party |
3. Jane Austin
Australian Labor Party |
4. Wayne Williams
Democratic Labour Party |
5. Andrew Wilkie
Independent |
6. Jen Brown
Australian Greens |
2013 results
Statistics and history
Denison has existed since Tasmania was first divided into electorates in 1903, and has always taken in the city of Hobart and its suburbs on the western shore of the Derwent River. Its boundaries have expanded and contracted over successive redistributions but the character of the seat has changed very little. Although it has a relatively low median income level, like all Tasmanian seats, it has a high proportion of people in professional occupations, and particularly, as both a state capital and a hub for Commonwealth administration, a high level of government employment. This contributed to the consolidation of the Labor vote from 1969 onwards, even as traditional blue-collar employment has disappeared from inner urban areas.
Members for Denison have included Liberal ministers Athol Townley and Michael Hodgman. Duncan Kerr won the seat for Labor in 1987. Denison used to be one of the most consistently marginal seats in the country (it has had 16 members, the equal highest number, with Bendigo), but Kerr held it for 23 years. He was a junior minister in the Keating government and a Parliamentary Secretary in the Rudd Government. Kerr retired in 2010, and Denison produced a major upset by electing Andrew Wilkie, an independent.
Andrew Wilkie, independent MP for Denison since 2010, is a former Army officer and analyst at the Office of National Assessments, who gained attention with his criticisms of the Howard Government's conduct of the Iraq War. In 2004 he ran as an independent against John Howard in Bennelong. In 2007 he was in second place on the Greens' Tasmanian Senate ticket. He polled only 21% in Denison, but was elected on Green and Liberal preferences.
Wilkie supported the minority Gillard Government in the 2010 hung parliament, but later withdrew his support. He was easily won re- election in 2013. There's no reason to suppose he won't do so again in 2016. The Labor candidate will be Jane Austin, who is Principal Policy Officer for Tasmania's Mental Health Services. She also stood in 2013. The Liberal candidate is Marcus Allan, an IT consultant.
These maps are the property of Adam Carr and may not be reproduced without his permission.
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Prospective pendulum, showing all candidates
State and territory maps, showing new boundaries
The thirty seats that will decide the election
Other seats of interest
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